Beijing: North Korea’s escalating nuclear provocations are putting putative ally China in an increasing bind, and may be part of a strategy to twist Beijing’s arm into orchestrating direct talks between Pyongyang and Washington, analysts said.
South Korea, meanwhile, has detected signs that the North is preparing another missile launch, the defence ministry said yesterday, adding it could involve an intercontinental ballistic missile.
The ministry said signs that North Korea was “preparing for another ballistic missile launch have consistently been detected since Sunday’s test”, referring to Pyongyang’s sixth nuclear test.
It did not give details or indicate when a launch might take place.
The North’s Kim dynasty has repeatedly used nuclear brinkmanship over the years in a push to be taken seriously by the United States but traditionally avoided causing major embarrassment to China, its sole major ally and economic lifeline.
But leader Kim Jong-un’s detonation Sunday of what he called a hydrogen bomb marked the second time this year that the 33-year-old family scion upstaged Chinese President Xi Jinping just as he was hosting a carefully choreographed international gathering.
Communist propaganda deifies Xi as an infallible father figure, but Kim’s actions are puncturing the facade and exposing the Chinese leader’s impotence towards the nuclear crisis on his doorstep.
“North Korea’s repeated nuclear and missile tests have put China in a more and more difficult position,” said Shi Yinhong, director of the Center for American Studies at Renmin University in Beijing.
Shi added that Kim – who has never met Xi – had become “more and more hostile towards China” after Beijing signed on to tougher new international sanctions against Pyongyang.
That has apparently made Kim more willing to bring pressure on Xi, said Jean-Pierre Cabestan, a political science professor at Hong Kong Baptist University.
Kim may be using Xi “like a cue ball in billiards”, Cabestan said, “in order to get negotiations with the United States”.
“But he has to be careful not to infuriate Xi as China is his only lifeline,” Cabestan added.
Both Pyongyang’s nuclear and missile programmes have been banned by the UN Security Council, and Sunday’s blast dramatically raised the stakes in Kim’s stand-off with the world.
David Kelly of Beijing-based think tank China Policy said the new sanctions and China’s decision earlier this year to suspend North Korean coal imports – a crucial source of cash – were likely triggers for Pyongyang’s growing belligerence.
“The message is: I am not to be messed with,” said Kelly.
“He’s been messed with by the games played by Washington and Beijing.”
The pressure comes at an inopportune time for Xi, who next month presides over the ruling Communists’ once-every-five-years party congress, the one-party state’s most consequential political gathering. — AFP
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