Looking back at Tanjung Piai: What exactly did the people say with their votes?

Wee meeting locals on the campaign trail. One reason Wee won the by-election was because he was a candidate who 'turun padang' (went to the ground) to speak to constituents. — THOMAS YONG/The Star

My prediction was derived from chats with locals during the first week of campaigning in the Parliamentary constituency with 57% Malays, 42% Chinese and 1% Indians and others. On the ground in the Johor seat, the sentiment was against the ruling coalition.

Closer to polling, I quoted the forecast of Ilham Centre and the Institute of Strategic Analysis and Policy Research (Insap). The two think tanks predicted that Barisan would retain Tanjung Piai which it lost by 524 votes in GE14 in 2018.