Spain blocks prediction markets Polymarket, Kalshi over lack of gambling licences


FILE PHOTO: Kalshi logo appears in this illustration taken April 22, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

MADRID, May 26 (Reuters) - ⁠Spain's Consumer Rights Ministry temporarily banned so-called ⁠prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi for operating ‌in the country without a gambling licence, the official state gazette showed on Tuesday.

• In a statement, the ministry said ​its gambling watchdog had opened a ⁠probe into the ⁠U.S.-based companies for allegedly breaching local rules by lacking ⁠mandatory ‌administrative authorisation.

• The ban will last an estimated three or four months until ⁠the probe's completion, it said.

• Prediction market ​users buy ‌and sell stakes on the outcome of future ⁠events, with ​prices reflecting the probability of one outcome or another occurring.

• Spain - like other European jurisdictions - considers prediction ⁠markets a form of gambling ​when bets are placed on uncertain outcomes.

• The ministry said unauthorised operators lack the required technical and ⁠regulatory safeguards like identity verification systems, access control mechanisms for minors and for people who have self-excluded or are banned from gambling, as well as ​the standards needed to protect ⁠users.

• Once a niche corner of the internet, ​prediction markets have mushroomed into ‌a multi-billion-dollar industry after gaining ​a foothold in U.S. politics in 2024.

(Reporting by David Latona; Editing by Thomas Derpinghaus)

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