Dr Noor Hisham shares ‘worrying’ stats on 10-month mark of pandemic


PETALING JAYA: Ten months into the Covid-19 pandemic, Health director-general Tan Sri Dr Noor Hisham Abdullah (pic) has called on Malaysians to continue to fight the virus together.

"As we approach the 10-month mark of the Covid-19 pandemic, our lives and normalcy have been fundamentally disrupted.

"Controlling the large scale community transmission is our top priority. We need strong solidarity and unity, together we can better fight this common enemy," he said on his Twitter post on Tuesday (Oct 6).

Separately, Dr Noor Hisham also posted a graph projecting the course of Covid-19 cases with an infectivity rate (R0 value) of 0.3,1.5, and 2.2.

With the R0 value of 0.3, it is estimated that cases will taper down to below 500 cases by Oct 31.

However, with an R0 of 1.5 and 2.2, it is projected that the number of cases will rise to more than 1,000 and 4,500 cases, respectively, by Oct 31.

"This graph was the simplest to illustrate our current scenario. Let us all come together to flatten the curve again," he tweeted.

A graph forecasting the total number of cases by Oct 10 was also posted up by Dr Noor Hisham.

In it, the graph showed that the country will record more than 20,000 cases by Oct 10, if the reproduction number (Rt) was at 1.86.

Rt is an indicator of how fast Covid-19 is spreading.

"Where do we want to be, we need to decide either to come together, be united and be stronger, to fight the common enemy or continue to cry over the spilled milk over and over when the numbers are increasing.

"Our frontliners are already on the ground," he Tweeted.

The virus first emerged from a seafood market in Wuhan, China in December 2019 where it had then spread to other countries around the world.

The virus hit the country on Jan 24 with the majority of cases having had a travel history to affected countries.

As of Monday (Oct 5), the country recorded 12,813 cases with 137 deaths.

Globally, the virus has so far killed 1,033,510 people with a total of 34,850,553 cases recorded.

It was classified by the World Health Organisation (WHO) on March 12 as a pandemic.

To date, there is no known cure.

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