LONDON: Bitcoin rose on Monday, briefly surpassing US$42,000 to reach a 20-month high, in a new surge of momentum fuelled by US interest rate cut expectations and traders betting that American regulators will soon approve exchange traded spot bitcoin funds.
The world’s biggest cryptocurrency rose to US$42,162, its highest since April 2022, seemingly casting off the gloom that had settled over crypto markets following the collapse of FTX and other crypto-business failures last year.
Bitcoin’s gains lifted the shares of cryptocurrency-related companies, as well as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) listed in the United States.
Coinbase jumped 7% and Microstrategy gained 6.3%, while bitcoin miners such as Riot Platforms, Marathon Digital and CleanSpark rose between 7% and 13%. Last week, Microstrategy disclosed it bought an additional US$593mil in bitcoin during November.
The ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF, which tracks bitcoin futures, rose 7.5%, while the ProShares Short Bitcoin Strategy ETF that allows traders to bet on a fall in bitcoin futures dropped 7.5%.
Bitcoin’s “remarkable ascent” can be attributed to a “confluence of factors” that were buoying sentiment, Luuk Strijers, chief commercial officer of crypto derivatives exchange Deribit, wrote in a note on Monday.
He cited widespread optimism that the US securities regulator may soon approve a spot bitcoin ETF, which would throw open the bitcoin market to millions more investors.
Abating inflation would lead central banks to begin easing rate hikes, making riskier assets more attractive, he said, and noted a steady increase in institutional engagement.
Bitcoin is up by more than 150% so far this year.
Riskier investments and other interest rate sensitive assets, such as gold, have also rallied hard over the last few weeks as markets wager that the US Federal Reserve has finished hiking rates and will start cutting early in 2024.
Reports in October that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) would not appeal a court ruling that the agency had been wrong to reject its spot bitcoin ETF application have also driven bets that an eventual approval is near.
SEC chairman Gary Gensler said in October the agency’s commissioners would potentially consider as many as 10 bitcoin ETF filings, but could not provide guidance on timing.
A spot bitcoin ETF could allow previously wary investors access to crypto via the tightly regulated stock market.
Demand is expected to be as much as US$3bil in the first few days of trading, and pull in billions more thereafter.
Investors are confident the SEC could approve multiple spot bitcoin ETFs as early as January, based on key public SEC filing and comment deadlines, Matteo Greco, research analyst at digital asset investment firm Fineqia International, wrote in a note.
“An approval is expected to bring short-term capital influx from the traditional finance investors.”
Investors have also welcomed the settlement of a years-long US criminal probe into Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange and a key cog in the worldwide crypto market.
The deal, in which Binance founder Changpeng Zhao stepped down after pleading guilty to breaking US anti-money laundering laws, allows the company to continue operating.
Ether, the coin linked to the Ethereum blockchain network, rose more than 6% on Monday, hitting US$2,274.88.
Both bitcoin and ether remain far below their 2021 record highs of US$69,000 and US$4,868, respectively. — Reuters
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