Japan fiscal experiment is lab test for Treasuries


Japan's new Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi delivers her first policy speech in the parliament, in Tokyo, Japan, on October 24, 2025. — Reuters

MUCH has been made of whether Japan’s market fright at yet more fiscal stimulus and political leaning on the central bank apes Britain’s bond blowout from 2022, but there are warnings for the US Treasury too.

In an unusual and alarming pattern that often suggests capital flight concerns, Japan’s government bond prices and the yen fell sharply in tandem last week as new Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi boosted spending while pressuring the Bank of Japan to maintain easy monetary policy despite rising debt and inflation.

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