Oil starts new year on positive note

Uncertain market: A man refuels a truck with diesel in Jakarta. Oil analysts have lowered their price forecasts for 2022 as the Omicron coronavirus variant poses headwinds to recovering fuel demand and risks a supply glut as producers pump more oil. — Bloomberg

SINGAPORE: Oil prices rose yesterday as the market kicked off 2022 on a positive note, although concerns over demand waning due to rapidly spreading Covid-19 pandemic limited gains.

Brent crude added 67 US cents (RM2.79), or 0.86%, to US$78.45 (RM327.25) a barrel, as of 0102 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 77 US cents (RM3.21), or 1.02%, to US$75.98 (RM316.95) a barrel.

“Tightened supplies from Libya ahead of an Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (Opec+) meeting kept the market sentiments positive,” said Abhishek Chauhan, head of commodities at Swastika Investmart Ltd.

Libya’s state oil firm said on Saturday the country’s oil output would be reduced by 200,000 barrels per day for a week due to maintenance on a main pipeline between the Samah and Dahra fields.

Last year, oil prices rose around 50%, spurred by the global economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic slump and producer restraint, even as infections reached record highs worldwide.

US health experts warned Americans to prepare for severe disruptions in coming weeks, with infection rates likely to worsen amid increased holiday travel, New Year celebrations and school reopenings following winter breaks.

Oil analysts have lowered their price forecasts for 2022 as the Omicron coronavirus variant poses headwinds to recovering fuel demand and risks a supply glut as producers pump more oil, a Reuters poll showed on Friday.

A survey of 35 economists and analysts forecast Brent crude would average US$73.57 (RM306.90) a barrel in 2022, about 2% lower than US$75.33 (RM314.24) consensus in November. It is the first reduction in the 2022 price forecast since the August poll.

United States crude is projected to average US$71.38 (RM297.76) per barrel in 2022, versus the previous month’s US$73.31 (RM305.81) consensus.

US energy firms added oil and natural gas rigs for a record 17 months in a row as higher prices lured some drillers back to the wellpad after last year’s coronavirus-driven decline in demand.

US crude oil production rose to 11.47 million barrels per day in October, up 6% from a month earlier, as output soared in the Gulf of Mexico as the region recovered from hurricanes, according to a monthly report issued on Thursday by the Energy Information Administration.

Opec+ will probably stick to their plan to add 400,000 barrels per day of supply in February when they meet on Jan 4, four sources said.

Commodity prices from energy and metals to agricultural products rebounded sharply in 2021, with power fuels leading the rally, driven by tight supplies and a strong economic recovery as Covid-19 vaccinations staved off widespread lockdowns. — Reuters