China changes GDP data calculation method to improve accuracy


BEIJING: China's statistics bureau said on Wednesday it has changed the way quarterly gross domestic product data is calculated, a move it calls a step to adopt international standards and improve the accuracy of Chinese numbers.

There has long been widespread scepticism about the reliability of Chinese data, especially as the government has sought to tamp market expectations of a protracted slowdown in the world's second-largest economy.

The move by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) comes after China said in July its annual growth rate in the second quarter was 7%, the same as in January-March. Many economists believe the April-June pace was lower.

The combined economic output of China's provinces has long exceeded that of the national level compiled by the bureau, raising suspicion that some growth-obsessed local officials have cooked the books.

Now, China is calculating GDP based on economic activity of each quarter to make the data "more accurate in measuring the seasonal economic activity and more sensitive in capturing information on short-term fluctuations", the NBS said.

Previously, China's quarterly GDP data, in terms of value and growth rates, was derived from cumulated figures rather than economic activity of that particular quarter, the bureau said.

The new methodology - in line with that of major developed countries - will pave the way for China to adopt the International Monetary Fund's Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) in calculating GDP, it said.

The bureau, which has revised some historical quarterly GDP figures for 2014 and prior years retrospectively, said it will publish third-quarter GDP data, due out on Oct 19, based on the new methodology.

The NBS has revised down year-on-year economic growth rates for every quarter last year by 0.1 percentage points, following its revision on Monday of the 2014 annual economic growth rate to 7.3% from 7.4%.

The bureau has also revised down growth rates in the first two quarters of 2012 by 0.1 percentage point respectively and revised up the fourth quarter by 0.1 percentage point.

For 2015, China is targeting annual economic growth of "around" 7%, which would be the weakest expansion in a quarter of a century. - Reuters

Win a prize this Mother's Day by subscribing to our annual plan now! T&C applies.

Monthly Plan

RM13.90/month

Annual Plan

RM12.33/month

Billed as RM148.00/year

1 month

Free Trial

For new subscribers only


Cancel anytime. No ads. Auto-renewal. Unlimited access to the web and app. Personalised features. Members rewards.
Follow us on our official WhatsApp channel for breaking news alerts and key updates!
   

Next In Business News

Industrial projects look increasingly attractive
Dutch Lady’s balancing act amid escalating costs
Demand for co-working space remains resilient
Fed dampens hopes for rate cut
F&N to use cost management measures
Changing office space requirements
Naza makes entry into green economy
CapBay aims to provide financing to more SMEs
New initiative for infrastructure needs in Perak
Ocean Fresh seeks ACE Market listing

Others Also Read