Takaichi set for big election win as Japan's ruling party regains majority in election: media projections


People queue up at a polling station to vote during the House of Representatives election in Kawasaki, Kanagawa prefecture, on Sunday, February 8, 2026. Japan voted in snap elections on Sunday with Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi hoping to turn a honeymoon start into a resounding ballot box victory that could rile China and rattle financial markets. -- Photo by Yuichi YAMAZAKI / AFP

TOKYO (AFP-Reuters): Japan's ruling party is set to regain a majority in snap lower house elections, media projections showed on Sunday in what would be a big victory for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.

Takaichi's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is expected to have won between 274 and 328 seats in the 465-member lower house, up from its current 198, national broadcaster NHK reported as polls closed.

The ruling bloc, together with its coalition partner the Japan Innovation Party (JIP), was projected to win between 302 and 366 seats, NHK said.

Winning 310 seats or more would give the bloc a two-thirds majority for the first time since elections in 2017 under Takaichi's mentor, the late ex-premier Shinzo Abe.

Reuters, meanwhile, reported, voters have been drawn to her straight-talking, hardworking image, but her nationalistic leanings and emphasis on security have strained ties with powerful neighbour China, while her promises of tax cuts have rattled financial markets.

Residents trudged through snow to cast their ballots with record snowfall in parts of the country snarling traffic and requiring some polling stations to close early.

It is only the third postwar election held in February, with elections typically called during milder months.

Outside a polling station in the town of Uonuma in the mountainous Niigata prefecture, teacher Kazushige Cho, 54, braved below-freezing temperatures and deep snow to cast his vote for Takaichi's Liberal Democratic Party.

"It feels like she's creating a sense of direction - like the whole country pulling together and moving forward. That really resonates with me," he said.

But Takaichi's election promise to suspend the 8% sales tax on food to help households cope with rising prices has spooked investors concerned about how the nation with the heaviest debt burden among advanced economies will fund the plan.

"If Takaichi wins big, she will have more political room to follow through on key commitments, including on consumption-tax cuts," said Seiji Inada, managing director at FGS Global, a consultancy. "Markets could react in the following days, and the yen could come under renewed pressure."

Niigata resident Mineko Mori, 74, padding through the snow with her dog, said she worried that Takaichi's tax cuts could saddle future generations with an even bigger burden.

But younger voters are among the most supportive of Takaichi, with one recent poll finding more than 90% of those under 30 favoured her.

The prime minister has sparked an unlikely youth-led craze called "sanakatsu", roughly translated as "Sanae-mania", with the products she uses, such as her handbag and the pink pen she scribbles notes with in parliament, in high demand.

On Thursday, Takaichi received the "total endorsement" of U.S. President Donald Trump.

China will also be keeping a close eye on the results.

Weeks after taking office, Takaichi touched off the biggest dispute with China in over a decade by publicly outlining how Tokyo might respond to a Chinese attack on Taiwan.

A strong mandate could accelerate her plans to bolster Japan's defence, which Beijing has cast as an attempt to revive its militaristic past.

"I voted for a party that clearly has the will to protect the country," Masanobu Igarashi, a retired soldier, said after casting his ballot for the LDP in Uonuma.

 

 

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