IBM falls as analysts question staying power of software rebound


FILE PHOTO: The IBM logo is displayed during the 56th annual World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting, in Davos, Switzerland, January 20, 2026. REUTERS/Romina Amato/File Photo

Oct 22 (Reuters) - IBM shares ⁠fell 6.5% in premarket trading on Thursday, as analysts said part ⁠of the company's third-quarter software rebound was driven by deals ‌delayed from the previous quarter, raising questions about how sustainable the boost would be.

Here are more details:

• About $250 million of IBM's software growth in the quarter came from deals ​pushed out of the second quarter, and the ⁠improvement was more modest without ⁠them, BofA Global Research analysts said

• IBM now expects annual software revenue ⁠growth ‌of about 7% to 8%, up from 6% to 8%, but kept its overall revenue growth forecast unchanged

• Third-quarter revenue in ⁠IBM's transaction processing unit, which sells software tied ​to its mainframe computers, ‌grew 9%, though CEO Arvind Krishna said he doesn't expect ⁠that pace to ​continue and sees a more "normalized performance, especially going into next year"

• The rebound follows a decline in the unit in the second quarter, when weakness in ⁠IBM's mainframe hardware and transaction processing software ​cut more than five points from its growth, finance chief James Kavanaugh said at the time

• Bernstein said IBM's forecast suggests sales in the unit ⁠will dip slightly in the fourth quarter as the lift from the delayed deals wears off

• The stock had fallen about 15% this year through Wednesday's close, including its steepest one-day drop in over a century ​in July after CEO Arvind Krishna said IBM ⁠had“faltered” in adapting to a shift in customer spending

• If current losses ​hold, IBM is set to lose more than $15 ‌billion in market value

• At least ​8 brokerages have raised their price targets on the stock, according to data compiled by LSEG.

(Reporting by Anzar Mehraj in Bengaluru)

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