Applied Materials forecasts revenue above estimates, shares fall on high expectations


A smartphone with a displayed Applied Materials logo is placed on a computer motherboard in this illustration taken March 6, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Aug 13 (Reuters) - Applied ⁠Materials forecast fourth-quarter revenue above Wall Street expectations on Thursday, betting that ⁠unabated demand for advanced AI chips will continue to fuel robust spending ‌on its semiconductor manufacturing equipment.

Even so, its shares dropped more than 5% in extended trading as lofty investor expectations overshadowed the results. The stock has more than doubled this year.

Expectations are elevated as the ​chip equipment maker reports after peers Lam Research and ⁠KLA posted solid quarterly performances and ⁠forecast revenue growth, Stifel's Brian Chin said.

According to CFRA analyst Brooks Idlet, the results ⁠and ‌the forecast were not enough to impress the Street, but the print was still solid as momentum clearly continues to improve. "We think calendar year ⁠2027 consensus estimates leave room for upside if recent strength ​continues."

Applied Materials, which supplies ‌equipment used in key wafer fabrication processes including deposition, chemical mechanical planarization ⁠and inspection, is ​benefiting from increased spending by chipmakers to support a rapid build-out of AI infrastructure.

It forecast fourth-quarter revenue of around $10.25 billion, plus or minus $500 million, compared with analysts' average estimate of $9.54 billion, ⁠according to data compiled by LSEG.

"We expect continued ​strong revenue growth in the second half of the calendar year, particularly in DRAM as well as leading-edge foundry-logic and advanced packaging," Chief Financial Officer Brice Hill said.

Applied expects ⁠overall packaging revenue to grow more than 70% in calendar year 2026, ahead of its prior projection of over 50%.

"Customers continue to give us longer visibility than we have ever had, with some conversations now extending to 2030," Hill said on a post-earnings ​call.

For the fourth quarter, Applied expects adjusted profit per ⁠share of $4.02, plus or minus 20 cents, compared with the estimate of $3.69.

It sees adjusted ​gross margin of 50.4%, versus analysts' expectations of 50.15% ‌and in line with the third quarter.

Revenue for ​the quarter ended July 26 grew 25% to $9.12 billion, surpassing the estimate of $8.99 billion.

(Reporting by Juby Babu in Mexico City; Editing by Shilpi Majumdar)

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