Duolingo's soft quarterly revenue outlook overshadows stronger user growth forecast


Smartphone with displayed Duolingo app is placed on the keyboard in this illustration taken, June 29, 2021. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Aug 5 (Reuters) - Duolingo ⁠forecast third-quarter revenue below Wall Street expectations on Wednesday, tempering optimism from ⁠its stronger user growth forecast as the language-learning company prioritizes boosting engagement ‌over near-term monetization.

Its shares slumped more than 10% in extended trading.

The company has been putting user growth ahead of near-term monetization this year, testing ways to increase subscription revenue without adding friction for its ​large base of free users.

CEO Luis von Ahn ⁠said Duolingo now expects daily active ⁠user (DAU) growth to remain above 20% for the rest of the year, reflecting product ⁠improvements, ‌stronger retention and marketing efforts.

DAU, a key measure of engagement, grew 23% to 58.7 million during the second quarter, ahead of Visible Alpha estimates, ⁠although paid subscribers came in slightly below consensus.

"We're enabling our ​teams to do more ‌to grow DAU and not be as primarily focused on monetization in ⁠this moment because ​we think it can set us off on a much healthier plane to get to 100 million DAUs," Chief Financial Officer Gillian Munson told Reuters.

The company also pointed to lower ⁠AI costs, which helped lift gross margins. Munson ​said Duolingo is increasingly using open-source AI models for some features that do not require its most advanced systems, helping drive costs down.

Second-quarter revenue rose 18% to $298.5 million, beating analysts' ⁠average estimate of $295.6 million, according to data compiled by LSEG. Its adjusted core profit also topped expectations.

The company said product improvements, broader rollout of AI-powered features such as Video Call, and more disciplined performance marketing boosted engagement during the quarter.

It also ​cited a one-time "Streak Revival" campaign that brought millions of ⁠inactive users back to the platform, though the management said sustained growth would be driven ​primarily by improvements in retention and learning outcomes ‌rather than temporary promotions.

The company projected third-quarter revenue ​of about $302 million, below analysts' estimate of about $304 million. It reaffirmed its full-year revenue forecast.

(Reporting by Akash Sriram in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpi Majumdar)

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