Match's weak quarterly revenue forecast masks improving trends at Tinder


Match Group brands are seen in this illustration taken, May 1, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Aug 4 (Reuters) - Match ⁠Group forecast third-quarter revenue below Wall Street estimates on Tuesday, overshadowing signs ⁠of improvement in its struggling Tinder dating app and continued growth at ‌Hinge, sending its shares down 9% in extended trading.

The weak outlook stems from the company's Everyone Everywhere brands, including its Asia-based Pairs and Azar businesses, Chief Financial Officer Steve Bailey told Reuters in an interview.

Everyone ​Everywhere is Match's portfolio of brands including OkCupid, Pairs ⁠and Azar, catering to diverse ⁠communities across geographies, identities, lifestyles and life stages.

Match expects mid-teens percentage declines in Everyone Everywhere ⁠revenue, ‌compared with a low double-digit decline forecast in February, largely due to the Azar app redesign.

It forecast third-quarter revenue of $885 million to $895 million, with ⁠the midpoint below analysts' estimate of $891.5 million, according to data ​compiled by LSEG.

Match's ability ‌to meet the forecast will largely depend on execution at Tinder and Hinge, ⁠according to Chandler ​Willison, analyst at M Science.

"The Tinder redesign and engagement will bear fruit or it won't, and the new Hinge plan may be successful or it may not," Willison said.

Dating apps ⁠are betting on AI-powered features to adapt to changing ​user preferences and improve matchmaking.

Tinder is using AI to speed up product development and rolling out social features aimed at helping younger users make real-world connections. Its Events feature, ⁠piloted in Los Angeles in March, has hosted more than 60 gatherings.

The Events product currently focuses on driving user growth rather than direct revenue, but is expected to become a revenue driver by 2027 and beyond, Bailey said.

Tinder's daily active user decline narrowed ​to 4% in the second quarter, the smallest percentage ⁠drop in 10 quarters.

Hinge's global monthly active users rose 13%, driven by strong growth in ​its expansion markets.

Match reported second-quarter revenue of $853 million, down ‌1%, missing the estimate of $856.8 million.

Paying users ​fell 6% to 13.3 million, though revenue per payer rose 6% to $21.13.

(Reporting by Juby Babu in Mexico City; Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila and Shilpi Majumdar)

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