Global AI debt issuance to top $500 billion in 2026, Morgan Stanley says


Morgan Stanley logo appears in this illustration taken December 1, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

June 10 (Reuters) - Morgan ⁠Stanley forecasts AI-related global debt issuance to ⁠more than double to nearly $570 billion in ‌2026, pointing to rising bond supply and credit market activity as hyperscalers turn to alternative funding sources to meet massive ​AI-driven capex needs.

Here are some ⁠details:

• Tech companies that ⁠have long relied on strong cash flows are increasingly ⁠turning ‌to debt financing as investment needs surge

• Morgan Stanley estimates AI-related global debt ⁠issuance stood at nearly $236 billion as of ​May 31, ‌2026, fourfold more than the same period ⁠last year

• ​Hyperscalers Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft and Meta are expected to spend $700 billion in outlays this year

• Morgan Stanley ⁠expects issuance to ramp in second ​half of 2026, as hyperscaler capex surpasses $1 trillion in 2027

• "Hyperscalers have been broadening their investor base through ⁠non-USD issuance," the brokerage said

• "Fundamental (economic) backdrop remains strong, but for now we think (bond) price action is being mostly driven by supply expectations," Morgan Stanley ​added

• Financing for chip companies, ⁠which is seeing an uptick in public and ​private markets, is shifting to ‌shorter-term deals that are fully ​repaid over time - Morgan Stanley

(Reporting by Kanishka Ajmera in Bengaluru; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala)

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