AI may be creating instead of destroying jobs for now, ECB blog argues


FILE PHOTO: A view of the European Central Bank (ECB) headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, March 6, 2025. REUTERS/Jana Rodenbusch/File Photo

FRANKFURT, March 4 (Reuters) - The ⁠increasing use of artificial intelligence by firms may be ⁠creating some jobs in the euro zone rather than ‌destroying them as many fear, a European Central Bank blog post argued on Wednesday.

Economists have been debating whether AI could put white collar staff out ​of work, and a recent study ⁠by Germany's Ifo Institute found ⁠that more than a quarter of German firms expect AI ⁠to ‌lead to job cuts in the next five years.

But the ECB's own Survey on the Access to Finance ⁠of Enterprises found that companies making significant use ​of AI ‌are more likely to take on additional staff in the ⁠near term.

"In ​other words, AI-intensive firms tend, on average, to hire rather than fire," the blog post, which is not necessarily the view of ⁠the ECB, said.

Firms planning to invest ​in AI are also more likely to have positive expectations for future employment growth, the blog argued.

"This is true regardless of the ⁠level of planned AI investment and suggests that a pause in hiring due to investment in AI technology is also unlikely over the next year," the blog, written by two ECB ​staff economists, said.

However, the outlook may ⁠change on the longer horizon, the authors said. Most of the ​gloomier surveys cover longer horizons than ‌the ECB's own question and the ​outlook could change once AI starts to significantly transform production processes.

(Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Andrew Heavens)

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