Brazil's Lula gains ground on Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of presidential vote, poll shows


Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva gestures during a family photo at a Mercosur summit at the CONMEBOL Convention Center, in Luque, Paraguay June 30, 2026. REUTERS/Cesar Olmedo

SAO PAULO, July ⁠15 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da ⁠Silva has widened his lead over right-wing ‌Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the run-up to October's presidential election, a Quaest poll commissioned by brokerage Genial showed on ​Wednesday.

It is the first Quaest ⁠survey following a series ⁠of political developments including a corruption investigation targeting ⁠a ‌senior Lula ally and arguments about accountability over new U.S. tariff threats against ⁠Brazil.

• Leftist Lula is seen with 45% ​of voting ‌intentions in a potential second-round runoff, compared ⁠with 37% ​for Senator Bolsonaro, currently the main opposition hopeful.

• A Quaest poll in June showed Lula leading ⁠Flavio Bolsonaro by 44% to38%.

• In ​a first-round scenario, Lula would take 40%, Bolsonaro 28%, Ronaldo Caiado 4%, Renan Santos 3% and ⁠Romeu Zema 2%.

• In Brazil, if no candidate gets more than 50% of valid votes, the two frontrunners go to a second-round vote.

• Quaest ​surveyed 2,004 people between July ⁠10 and 13. The poll has a margin ​of error of two percentage ‌points in either direction.

(Reporting ​by Michael Susin and Isabel Teles; Writing by Victoria Pacheco; Editing by Andrew Heavens)

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