Election pledges putting Australia's AAA credit rating at risk: S&P


By GossZhang
  • World
  • Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025

CANBERRA, April 28 (Xinhua) -- Global credit rating firm S&P has warned that Australia's top-level AAA rating is under threat from billions of dollars in election commitments from both major parties.

Analysts from S&P said in a report on Monday, five days before Australia's general elections on May 3, that the rating could be at risk if campaign funding pledges from the governing Labor Party and opposition Coalition lead to larger structural deficits, debt and interest costs.

The report said that Australia's budget is "already regressing to moderate deficits" as spending reaches "post-war highs, global trade tensions intensify, and growth slows."

It said that how the elected government funds campaign pledges would be "crucial" for maintaining the AAA rating.

Hours after the report was published, the incumbent Labor government's Treasurer Jim Chalmers and Finance Minister Katy Gallagher released the party's pre-election costings outlining how it would fund its commitments and downplayed the risk of a credit rating downgrade.

Releasing costings is a standard step in the days leading up to the elections where the major parties reveal how they plan to fund their policies and announcements made during the campaign.

Revealing Labor's costings, Chalmers announced a re-elected Labor government would raise visa fees for international students from 1,600 Australian dollars (1,021 U.S. dollars) to 2,000 Australian dollars (1,276.2 U.S. dollars).

Coalition leader Peter Dutton has said the party would raise student visa fees to 5,000 Australian dollars (3,190 U.S. dollars) for Australia's eight most prestigious universities and to 2,500 Australian dollars (1,595.3 U.S. dollars) for all other institutions.

Chalmers said that Labor's measure would generate an additional 760 million Australian dollars (484.9 million U.S. dollars) in revenue. He said that the party would save another 6.4 billion Australian dollars (4.08 billion U.S. dollars) by reducing spending on consultants, contractors, labor hire as well as non-wage expenses such as travel and hospitality.

Labor has made 10 billion Australian dollars (6.3 billion U.S. dollars) in election commitments, the costings said. The budget for 2025-26, which was handed down by Chalmers in March, included 4 billion Australian dollars (2.5 billion U.S. dollars) set aside for election pledges.

Chalmers and Gallagher said that Australia's cumulative budget deficit over the next four years is now projected to be 1 billion Australian dollars (638 million U.S. dollars) lower than projected in March.

"We will finish this election campaign with the budget in a stronger position than at the start of the election campaign," Chalmers told reporters in Brisbane.

Opinion polls are unanimously projecting that Labor, led by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, is set to win a second term in power at the elections.

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