ANALYSIS - Next Japan PM: bold leadership a long shot

TOKYO (Reuters) - Who will become Japan's sixth premier in five years is anyone's guess, but one bet looks safe: he's unlikely to provide the bold leadership that voters and investors in the troubled economy crave.

Factors ranging from an education system that rewards conformity to a political arena where personal ties matter more than ideas make improbable the emergence of a charismatic leader like Junichiro Koizumi, who swept to power in 2001 promising reform and served a rare five-year term before stepping down.