Hawkish Fed bets, oil shock set to sustain ringgit showing


KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit is expected to trade around the four level against the US dollar this week, as expectations of a prolonged West Asia conflict weigh on the currency.

Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd (Kenanga IB) said investors are likely to remain overweight on the greenback as a hedge against renewed escalation once the US 10-day pause on strikes against Iran’s energy facilities ends.

“The ringgit’s initial outperformance faded in a late-cycle correction, as the benchmark Brent crude oil holding near US$100 per barrel has heightened US inflation concerns.

“Consequently, investors have priced in a more hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed), supporting the greenback,” it said in a note.

Kenanga IB anticipates the West Asia conflict to extend into the third quarter of 2026 (3Q26), keeping the Fed restrictive until 4Q26. — Bernama

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ringgit , currency , dollar , greenback

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