UK economy in October suffers first back-to-back declines since 2020


BRITAIN's economy shrank for a second month in October in the run-up to the new government's first budget, the first back-to-back falls in output since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Gross domestic product shrank 0.1% month-on-month in October, as it did in September, the Office for National Statistics said.

It was the first consecutive drop in monthly GDP - which is volatile and prone to revision - since March and April 2020, when Britain enforced its first coronavirus lockdown.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast a monthly expansion of 0.1%.

The services sector flatlined, while output in the manufacturing and construction industries declined in October.

Friday's data adds to a run of worse-than-expected figures for Britain's economy, with business surveys and retail sales readings also falling flat.

"While the figures this month are disappointing, we have put in place policies to deliver long-term economic growth," finance minister Rachel Reeves said in a statement.

Her budget statement on Oct. 30 imposed large tax rises on businesses. Its direct impact will be felt in GDP data from November onwards.

An ONS statistician said there was "mixed" anecdotal evidence for the budget impact, with some firms saying turnover had been affected by customers waiting for Reeves' announcement. Others brought forward activity.

Sterling fell by around a quarter of a cent against the U.S. dollar. Investors continued to price in around 3 quarter-point cuts in Bank of England interest rates by the end of next year.

"We don't think the economy is weak enough to prompt the Bank to follow November's...rate cut with another cut at next Thursday's December meeting," said Paul Dales, chief UK economist at consultancy Capital Economics.

"That said, we're not as confident about that as we were before this data release." - Reuters

Follow us on our official WhatsApp channel for breaking news alerts and key updates!
UK , GDP , services , manufacturing

Next In Business News

Bank of England sounds inflation alarm as it holds interest rates
US weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fall
Lagenda Properties unit completes RM475mil first Sukuk Wakalah issuance
Glomac swings to profit in 1QFY27
TS Wong ceases to be substantial shareholder of Cuscapi
Enproserve secures RM12mil facility management contract from Perbadanan Putrajaya
ETA Group appoints Kau Sin Yual as chairman
PETRONAS LNG portfolio positions Malaysia to capture Asia’s growing gas demand
Tan Chong, Saike explore EV battery pack localisation in Malaysia
Ringgit ends mostly higher against major currencies, but weakens vs US dollar

Others Also Read