Tough market: A view of London’s skyline from the River Thames. — Reuters
LONDON: Real estate investors already battered by high interest rates now face the prospect of significant writedowns triggered by new European regulations.
Property owners across the region will need to invest vast sums in renovations to ensure their buildings aren’t emitting illegal levels of carbon dioxide or consuming excessive amounts of energy, according to lawyers advising the sector.
The situation “is causing huge problems,” said Rory Bennett, a managing associate at the real estate practice of Linklaters in London.
Portfolios containing energy-inefficient buildings face “the task of expending a huge amount of capital to bring that up to scratch, together with refinancing or redeveloping at the highest interest rates we’ve seen in decades.”
This month, lawmakers in the European Union (EU) passed the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive. The rollout will be gradual – lasting more than a decade – but property owners that fall too far behind risk being saddled with assets that can no longer be sold or rented.
The directive is intended to force property owners to embark on large-scale renovations to improve the environmental credentials of buildings across Europe, and ensure the bloc meets its commitment to the Paris Agreement.
For now, refurbishments in the region only reduce annual energy consumption by 1%, according to the European Commission. To meet its climate requirements, the EU says property owners need to raise spending on renovations by €275bil (US$300bil) a year.
“It’s huge sums of money,” Bennett said. “The reality is there will be some who simply can’t afford or would choose not to comply with the legislation directive on the basis that paying a penalty is, at least in the short term, easier than having to spend a huge amount of your reserves on bringing your stock up to grade.”
For real estate investors, the new wave of green requirements adds to the fallout from higher interest rates. The situation has started to attract short sellers, who are now targeting the weakest links in a global property market that’s struggling on multiple fronts.
Europe’s new energy-performance law is likely to affect tens of thousands of buildings across the region.
By 2033, property owners will need to have renovated a quarter of the EU’s biggest energy-guzzling buildings. Fossil-fuel boilers are out and solar-panel-ready buildings are in. And by 2030, all new buildings must be emissions-free.
The directive is part of a package of first-ever initiatives adopted in recent years to green the EU economy, and includes legal liability for failing to address environmental harms, as well as the mandatory disclosure of energy, emissions and water-use data.
The United Kingdom also is planning rules that will force property owners to embark on environmental upgrades.
Mount Street, a London-based company managing €65bil of European real estate loans, estimates that about 70% of Britain’s commercial property currently has an energy performance certificate (EPC) grade of C or lower.
That implies major upgrades ahead as the UK plan gives all building owners until April 2027 to reach a grade of at least C. By April 2030, a building’s grade can’t fall below B for it to stay operational.
Jim Gott, who manages the asset surveillance team at Mount Street, says the current proposal implies an investment need as high as £150bil (US$189bil). — Bloomberg
