The year of policy normalisation


THIS time last year, we anticipated a sharp V-shaped recovery in 2021 based on the assumption that nationwide lockdowns would be a thing of the past. Given the prolonged lockdowns in 2021, we see the shape of the economic recovery coming in as a smaller “V”.

In 2022, however, we anticipate that fiscal and monetary policy normalisation will be the central theme of the year. As far as the fiscal side is concerned, it is all about debt management.

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