The research house said Yokohama IR could complete its first full year of operations in FY28, leading to earnings accretion of RM2.9bil, which is more than Genting's FY19 core net profit of RM2.2bil.
It noted that in Resorts World Sentosa's first year of operations, Genting Singapore's contribution doubled Genting group's core net profit.
Maybank IB reiterated its "buy" call and raised its sum-of-parts target price by 10% to RM6.26 on expectations of a Yokohama IR win in June to August 2021.
"If GENS and its JV partner win the Yokohama IR RFP process and GENT’s share price reacts the same way as when GENS won the Sentosa IR RFP process, we do not discount the possibility that GENT’s share price may hit MYR10," it said.
Meanwhile, the research house forecasts that Genting will record a FY21 net loss of RM99mil from a net profit of RM113mil, due to expectation of Genting Malaysia posting a 76% wider net loss.
However, it maintained its FY22 and FY23 earnings projections as the increased Covid-19 vaccination rate in Malaysia could preclude Resorts World Genting from shutting down again.