Singapore GDP shrinks at slower 7% rate in Q3 as economy set to recover

The rebound comes after the 13.2 per cent quarter-on-quarter plunge in the second quarter. - ST

SINGAPORE (The Straits Times/ANN): Singapore's economy rebounded in the third quarter from the doldrums of the circuit breaker period in the earlier three months on the back of its manufacturing sector.

The Republic's gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 7.9 per cent on a quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted basis in the July to September period, according to the Ministry of Trade and Industry's advanced estimates released on Wednesday (Oct 14).

The rebound comes after the 13.2 per cent quarter-on-quarter plunge in the second quarter that included the April 7 to June 1 period of strict restrictions on mobility and business activity to curb the coronavirus pandemic. Singapore started a gradual reopening in June, triggering a steady recovery in economic activity.

On an year on year basis, the economy shrank by 7 per cent, a stark improvement from the the second quarter’s 13.3 per cent plunge.

However, the year on year contraction was slightly worse than the 6.8 per cent drop forecast in a Reuters poll of 11 economists.

MTI did not revise its full-year GDP forecast range of between -5 per cent and -7 per cent.

The ministry said it will not report the annualised quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted growth rates, on the basis of which the economy shrank by a record 42.9 per cent in the second quarter.

The Reuters poll had predicted a 35.3 per cent surge on a quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted and annualised basis in the third quarter. Singapore’s top local banks - DBS, OCBC and UOB - had expected GDP to jump between 51.5 and 31 per cent on the same basis.

MTI in its statement said; “The improved performance of the Singapore economy in the third quarter came on the back of the phased re-opening of the economy following the circuit breaker.”

The rebound was due mainly to the manufacturing sector that grew by 2 per cent year on year in the third quarter, a reversal from the 0.8 per cent contraction in the previous quarter, the ministry said.

However, the construction sector shrank by 44.7 per cent, extending the 59.9 per cent plunge in the previous quarter.

The services producing industries also contracted, down 8 per cent year on year, though better than the 13.6 per cent decline in the second quarter.

According to analysts most of the manufacturing sector was buoyed by improving exports demand in the third quarter. Construction and services - mainly retail and tourism related business - continue to suffer as a lot of building projects have been delayed and retail sales has been slow.

However, the finance & insurance and information & communications sectors recorded steady growth during the quarter. On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted basis, the services producing industries expanded by 6.8 per cent, a reversal from the 11.2 per cent decline seen in the second quarter, MTI data showed. - The Strait Times/Asia News Network

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Singapore , GDP , economy , recovery


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