Oracle eases AI spending worries with plan to turn cash flow positive


FILE PHOTO: Oracle logo is seen in this illustration taken September 9, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

Oct 28 (Reuters) - Oracle ⁠said on Wednesday it expects capital spending to peak this fiscal year and next as it builds more cloud-computing capacity, ⁠but pledged to raise no more than $20 billion in additional financing for AI through fiscal 2030.

The pledge is meant ‌to reassure investors worried that Larry Ellison's company will need ever-larger sums of outside money to fund its aggressive data-center buildout. Oracle shares jumped over 12% on the forecasts, while other cloud stocks also rose.

Speaking at Oracle's investor day in Las Vegas, CFO Hilary Maxson said Oracle also expects free cash flow to turn positive in ​the second half of fiscal 2028 and top $30 billion in fiscal 2029, when capital ⁠spending is set to decline.

"Oracle is trying to show ⁠investors that there's a method to the madness of its massive AI infrastructure spending," Emarketer analyst Jacob Bourne said.

"Though the projections are ⁠ambitious ‌and far from guaranteed, they demonstrate an understanding of investors' concerns and offer an optimistic path toward addressing them."

Oracle has become a focal point of worries about the soaring cost of AI infrastructure because it lacks the deep revenue base of cloud ⁠giants such as Microsoft and Amazon and relies heavily on a single customer, loss-making ​ChatGPT creator OpenAI.

The partnership with OpenAI has ‌added hundreds of billions of dollars to Oracle's cloud backlog, but building the data centers and other AI infrastructure needed ⁠to fulfill those contracts ​has forced it to lean heavily on debt and stock sales.

PLANS TO CUT BACK ON OUTSIDE FINANCING

Oracle said on Wednesday it expects vendor financing, customer-provided hardware and customer pre-payments to reduce its upfront cash needs until free cash flow turns positive.

It expects to stop relying on outside funding for growth from ⁠fiscal 2029, with net debt forecast to fall below 3.5 times its annual ​core earnings that year.

The company said earlier this year it would raise $40 billion through debt and equity financing in its current fiscal year, including the $20 billion stock sale it completed in the first quarter.

It had $125.34 billion in notes payable and other borrowings as of August 31, while cash ⁠and cash equivalents totaled around $36.37 billion.

"I've told you we need an additional up to $20 billion in funding for the remainder of our fiscal 2027," Maxson said.

"We're announcing that this $20 billion, split evenly between debt and equity, is the final amount needed to fund the remainder of this cycle."

Oracle's five-year credit default swaps, which measure the cost of insuring against a default on its debt, were down marginally at 287.2 ​basis points on Wednesday.

Maxson's remarks lifted shares of AI cloud and infrastructure companies after weeks of ⁠selling pressure over worries that the AI boom is becoming too dependent on debt.

CoreWeave, Nebius, Applied Digital and Iren gained between 2.1% and 5%.

For ​fiscal 2030, Oracle forecast revenue of more than $225 billion, an adjusted operating margin above ‌40% and adjusted earnings of more than $21 per share. It reaffirmed its ​fiscal 2027 forecast of more than $90 billion in revenue and adjusted earnings of $8.10 per share.

(Reporting by Aditya Soni and Anzar Mehraj in Bengaluru, additional reporting by Deborah Sophia and Niket Nishant; Editing by Arun Koyyur, Maju Samuel and Leroy Leo)

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