India's Infosys falls after revenue growth view cut flags AI, competitive pressures


FILE PHOTO: The Infosys logo is displayed during a press briefing, following the company's quarterly results announcement at its headquarters in Bengaluru, India, July 23, 2026. REUTERS/Priyanshu Singh/File Photo

Oct 26 (Reuters) - Shares of India's Infosys fell 2.7% on Monday after ⁠the software exporter sharply cut its fiscal 2027 revenue growth forecast, ‌underscoring challenges from AI-driven pricing pressure, tougher competition and sluggish demand in key markets.

The firm was the last of the top 5 to report earnings for the Indian IT sector. Earlier this month, ​peers TataConsultancy Services and HCLTech met revenue estimates ⁠with modest margin performance, but investors ⁠cheered the uptick in AI revenue.

The company cut its fiscal 2027 revenue growth forecast ⁠to ‌1%-2% from 1.5%-3%, while most analysts had expected it to trim only the upper end of the range to 2.5%.

"Peers are better placed ⁠than Infosys at this point, and the share movement is ​just reflecting that. Infosys ‌has been underperforming from Q4FY26 results," LKP Securities analyst Anshul Jethi said.

AI ⁠competition and ​clients expanding their global capabilitycentres or offshore tech hubs directly, rather than engaging Infosys for IT services, are also hurting the company, he added.

Systematix analysts called it a "disappointing quarter", highlighting ⁠pricing pressure from heightened competition and client productivity ​demands on account of AI, and subdued tech spending among retail and high-tech clients.

Brokerage Motilal Oswal said weaker volumes, smaller-than-expected price increases, a shift toward offshore delivery and ⁠Infosys' decision to exit a large European manufacturing contract had weighed on growth.

TD Cowen said macroeconomic uncertainty, AI-led productivity demands, and heightened competition have hurt pricing and volumes, while seasonal weakness and client ramp-downs could weigh on second-half growth.

Analysts rate the ​stock "Buy" on average, with a median price target of ⁠1,180 rupees, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Shares were last trading 1.5% lower at ​1,136 rupees as of 10:53 a.m. IST. The ‌Nifty IT index was down 0.2% while ​the benchmark Nifty 50 index was up 0.16%.

(Reporting by Sai Ishwarbharath B and Mridula Kumar in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips and Rashmi Aich)

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