Kalshi debuts US midterms hub for election forecasts and polling data


FILE PHOTO: Kalshi logo appears in this illustration created on April 22, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

July 22 (Reuters) - Prediction ⁠market operator Kalshi said it had launched a ⁠new hub for tracking the U.S. midterm elections, ‌offering users real-time election forecasts alongside polling, fundraising and historical election data.

The New York-based company said the hub will provide a market-based ​view of election races using prices ⁠from prediction markets, ⁠where traders buy and sell contracts tied to political outcomes.

Here ⁠are ‌some details:

• Kalshi said its prices reflect the views of traders willing to risk money ⁠on an outcome rather than voters' stated ​preferences.

• Hub ‌is intended to serve as a one-stop resource for ⁠voters, journalists, ​campaigns, policymakers and researchers seeking election forecasts.

• The launch comes as prediction markets have grown rapidly since the ⁠2024 U.S. presidential election.

• Prediction markets ​provide a real-time view of traders' expectations, though critics say prices could be influenced by speculative trading and potential ⁠insider information.

• The hub includes live prediction markets for Senate, House and Governor races, polling averages from VoteHub, Federal Election Commission fundraising data, historical election results and ​campaign news and analysis.

• The company ⁠is marking the launch with an event in Washington, ​D.C., featuring political strategists and ‌a live demonstration of the platform.

(Reporting ​by Anirban Sen in New York and Prakhar Srivastava in Bengaluru; Editing by Vijay Kishore)

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