Private infra, real estate capital to play larger financing role in AI data center boom, Goldman says


FILE PHOTO: A message reading "AI artificial intelligence," a keyboard and robot hands are seen in this illustration created on January 27, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

June 3 (Reuters) - Private infrastructure ⁠and real estate capital are expected to play a ⁠larger role in financing the AI-driven data-center boom, as companies ‌move beyond traditional forms of funding, Goldman Sachs said in a note on Tuesday.

• Goldman increased its combined capex forecast for the four largest hyperscalers - Meta, ​Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet - to $5.3 trillion between ⁠fiscal years 2025 and 2030.

• ⁠Prior to the start of first-quarter earnings, the Wall Street brokerage ⁠forecast ‌capex at $4.5 trillion for the same period.

• Goldman expects companies will tap into public, securitized and private markets ⁠to attain the scale and scope of this funding ​need.

• "Private infrastructure and ‌real estate will play an even larger role in ⁠the years ahead," ​Goldman said.

• The boundaries between private infrastructure and real estate are blurring as data center projects extend into different categories such as land, ⁠power, building and equipment.

• Private infrastructure's structured ​income generation and inflation-protection characteristics will likely boost further growth, the brokerage said.

• "Infrastructure sits at the epicenter of multiple structural tailwinds, which we ⁠expect will drive its growth and provide additional capacity for financing," Goldman added.

• From 2021 to 2024, the private infrastructure market grew at an annualized rate of roughly 11.5%, Goldman said.

• Goldman ​expects this growth rate to increase, potentially ⁠closer to the 16% to 17% annualized growth that prevailed for ​much of 2012 to 2021.

• This growth ‌rate would push the infrastructure assets ​under management (AUM) comfortably above $3 trillion by 2030, the brokerage added.

(Reporting by Akriti Shah in Bengaluru; Editing by Janane Venkatraman)

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