Netflix surges as investors cheer decision to exit Warner Bros race


A drone view shows a sign for Paramount in front of the Hollywood sign in Los Angeles, California, December 8, 2025. REUTERS/Daniel Cole

Feb 27 (Reuters) - Netflix ended nearly 14% ⁠higher on Friday as investors applauded its decision to exit the race for Warner Bros Discovery, a months-long bidding war with ⁠Paramount Skydance for some of Hollywood's most prized assets.

Paramount said it will buy Warner Bros in a $110 billion deal, which ‌is expected to close in the third quarter of 2026. It also paidthe $2.80 billion termination fee that Warner Bros owed Netflix, the streaming giant said in a regulatory filing on Friday.

Netflix declined to match Paramount's latest $31 per share bid or raise its offer of $27.75 a share for Warner Bros'studio and streaming assets, stating that the deal was "no longer financially ​attractive".

The decision was welcomed by investors. Shares of the streaming giant had shed more than ⁠18% since Netflix announced its deal with Warner Bros ⁠on December 5.

The latest move is a "tick in the box" for discipline, said Ben Barringer, head of technology research at Quilter Cheviot.

"What you want ⁠from ‌a management team is an ability to look at acquisitions, value them, pay what they think is a fair price, but to not overpay."

Analysts and investors had questioned whether Netflix's bid was a defensive attempt to block a future competitor or an offensive shift away ⁠from its historically disciplined build-versus-buy approach.

"A positive turn of events in our view, as ​we believe NFLX's withdrawal from the race will ‌leave it free to refocus on its business, while its closest competitors grapple with long and distracting regulatory approval and merger ⁠integration processes, and with PSKY ​saddled with sizable deal debts," HSBC analysts said.

'GOOD BUSINESS SENSE'

Shares of the David Ellison-led Paramount, meanwhile, ended nearly 21% higher.

Paramount's deal, valued at $110 billion, including debt, represents nearly 13 times Warner Bros' EBITDA this year, according to estimates from LSEG. That is well above what Paramount is worth on the same basis, which is ⁠7 times its estimated earnings.

A tie-up with Warner Bros would allow Paramount's storied Hollywood ​studio to tap into Warner's deep trove of intellectual property -including franchises such as "Fantastic Beasts" and "The Matrix" - across film, television and streaming.

"WBD's largest asset is declining and the company is still under debt from its last failed merger. But this deal is more about Ellison taking over Hollywood and ego than it ⁠is about good business sense," said Ross Benes, senior analyst at Emarketer.

For Paramount's streaming unit, a combination with HBO Max and Discovery+ would reshape its position in a streaming era long dominated by Netflix.

"Paramount was the streaming market laggard, and it needs Warner Bros' content and capabilities to play catch-up. It will need more than Harry Potter for the deal to work its magic and enable Paramount to fight off Netflix, Disney and Amazon ​in the streaming wars," said Dan Coatsworth, head of markets at AJ Bell.

In the fight for Warner ⁠Bros, the Paramount consortium backed by billionaire Larry Ellison and led by his son, Paramount CEO David Ellison, also boosted its termination fee to $7 billion ​and expanded its financing commitments, including $45.7 billion in equity.

"There is a right price and wrong ‌price for any acquisition, and the pressure is now on Paramount to ​prove the big financial outlay is worth it," said Coatsworth.

(Reporting by Harshita Mary Varghese, Rashika Singh and Kanchana Chakravarty in Bengaluru, additional reporting by Juby Babu in Mexico City; Jennifer Saba in New York; editing by Arpan Varghese, Devika Syamnath and Shinjini Ganguli)

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