Climate change made Indonesian fires more severe, scientists say


A drone view shows an orangutan hanging from a tree in a palm-oil plantation affected by wildfires before being rescued in Laman Satong village, Ketapang Regency, West Kalimantan, Indonesia, September 30, 2026. REUTERS/Victor Fidelis Sentosa

SINGAPORE, Nov 13 (Reuters) - ⁠Wildfires that hit large parts of Indonesia from August to October and plunged ⁠much of Southeast Asia into hazardous smoke were made much worse by "record-breaking" ‌heat caused by human-induced climate change, scientists said on Friday.

While a very strong ElNiño was the dominant factor in determining the extremely low levels of rainfall across Indonesia from July, human-induced climate change contributed around ​1.6 degrees Celsius of additional heat during the ⁠fire season, said a report by ⁠climate research group World Weather Attribution.

"The conditions that we saw this year would simply just ⁠not ‌have happened in a world without the human contribution to climate change, even with the very strong El Niño that we're seeing," said Theodore Keeping, ⁠a researcher into wildfires and extreme weather at Imperial College ​London who contributed to ‌the report.

"You have multiple different drivers changing in differentways, but what we ⁠can say with ​very high confidence is that the driving weather conditions of these fires are getting more severe," he told a briefing.

Pramudhian Firdaus, a wildfire researcher at Melbourne University, said September 2026 was Indonesia's ⁠fifth-driest September since 1991, with rainfall below normal ​levels across 84% of the country.

Decades of land-use change, involving extensive deforestation and the draining of flammablepeatland to make way for industry and agriculture, also compounded this year's fire outbreaks.

"Indonesian ⁠landscapes have changed dramatically over the last 30 years, with extensive peatland drainage and deforestation creating a landscape that is extremely vulnerable to ignition," Firdaus said.

According to data released on Thursday by the independent geo-monitoring platform Nusantara Atlas, almost 2.88 million hectares of ​Indonesian territory was affected by fire from January to October ⁠2026, rising nearly 1 million hectares in October alone.

The amount of fire-damaged land in the ​first three quarters of this year was 35% ‌higher than in the same period of 2019, ​the last year Indonesia faced strong "super-El Nino" conditions, Nusantara Atlas said.

(Reporting by David Stanway; Additional reporting by Dewi Kurniawati in Jakarta; Editing by Timothy Heritage)

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