Lula leads Bolsonaro by 3 points in Brazil runoff scenario, Datafolha poll shows


FILE PHOTO: Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, a candidate for reelection for the Workers' Party (PT), speaks during a campaign rally in Belem, Brazil, September 28, 2026. REUTERS/Marx Vasconcelos/File Photo

SAO PAULO, Oct ⁠1 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula ⁠da Silva leads Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, ‌his main challenger, in a potential runoff ahead of this month's election, a Datafolha poll showed on ​Thursday.

In a simulated runoff, Lula ⁠would receive 48% of ⁠the vote compared with 45% for Bolsonaro, ⁠the ‌eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro. A previous Datafolha poll ⁠had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 47% to ​45%.

• The ‌result still represents a technical tie ⁠as the ​poll's margin of error is 2 percentage points

• In a first-round scenario, Lula leads ⁠with 42% of the vote, followed ​by Bolsonaro (38%), Augusto Cury (4%), Ronaldo Caiado (3%) and Renan Santos (3%)

• The previous Datafolha poll showed the ⁠leftist president with 40% against the right-wing senator's 36%

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in ​the first round on Sunday, ⁠the two frontrunners advance to a runoff ​set for October 25

• ‌Datafolha surveyed 2,506 people between ​September 29 and October 1

(Reporting by Andre Romani; Editing by Fernando Cardoso)

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