Denmark expects Russia to escalate hybrid warfare in coming months, intelligence service says


A Danish flag flutters in Copenhagen, Denmark, September 22, 2026. REUTERS/Tom Little

COPENHAGEN, Sept 24 (Reuters) - ⁠Russia is likely to intensify its hybrid war against the West in ⁠the coming months, Denmark's defence intelligence service said in a new threat ‌assessment on Thursday.

Hybrid warfare and sabotage on European soil gained renewed attention after Germany recently blamed Russia for an attempted drone attack at the Leipzig/Halle Airport, prompting European Union members to call for new sanctions ​against Russia.

Moscow has repeatedly denied any involvement in hybrid ⁠warfare, sabotage operations in NATO countries, ⁠or plotting any confrontation.

The Russian embassy to Denmark did not immediately respond to a ⁠request ‌for comment.

MORE FREQUENT ATTACKS EXPECTED

The defence intelligence service said Russia will carry out more frequent attacks against the West and NATO "with greater consequences for the ⁠countries targeted than in the past."

It added that there ​was "a low but growing risk" ‌that Russia would launch a limited military attack against one or several ⁠NATO countries that ​border Russia.

"A limited military attack would be a desperate move on Russia’s part and, like the intensified hybrid attacks, could potentially take place in the coming months," it said.

Such attacks could ⁠include isolated strikes with long-range weapons like drones ​or missiles on infrastructure supporting Ukraine, or false-flag operations using Ukrainian-made drones, intelligence service chief Thomas Ahrenkiel said at a press conference.

He said Russia could also deploy a limited number ⁠of troops into a NATO border area, potentially under the pretext of protecting Russian minorities.

"The aim is not to take over the country, but to divide NATO," he said.

A Russian frigate last week fired two flares towards a Danish military helicopter sent to ​photograph it in international waters off Denmark, with one ⁠narrowly missing the aircraft, according to the Danish military.

In a separate statement on Thursday, the ​Danish Resilience Agency said it was likely that Russia ‌would attempt to carry out destructive cyberattacks ​against Denmark and it raised its threat level.

(Reporting by Soren Jeppesen, Louise Rasmussen, Jacob Gronholt-Pedersen and Stine Jacobsen; Editing by Stine Jacobsen and Thomas Derpinghaus)

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