Bolsonaro, Lula statistically tied in simulated Brazil runoff, Atlas/Bloomberg poll shows


FILE PHOTO: Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva waves to supporters as he launches his reelection campaign at Primeiro de Maio Stadium in Sao Bernardo do Campo, Brazil, August 16, 2026. REUTERS/Alexandre Meneghini/File Photo

SAO PAULO, Sept ⁠10 (Reuters) - Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and ⁠President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva are ‌statistically tied in a simulated runoff ahead of next month's election, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed on Thursday, with ​the right-wing lawmaker now holding ⁠a narrow numerical ⁠edge over the leftist incumbent.

• The eldest son ⁠of ‌former President Jair Bolsonaro would receive 46.4% of the vote in a ⁠second-round runoff, compared with 46.2% for Lula, ​the ‌poll showed.

• In late August, Lula led ⁠the senator ​47.1% to 42.6%.

• In a first-round scenario, Lula is seen leading with 43.0% of the ⁠vote, followed by Bolsonaro (37.4%), Augusto Cury (6.6%) ​and Renan Santos (6.5%).

• The previous poll showed Lula at 43.4% and Bolsonaro at 33.7% in ⁠the first round.

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 first round, the two frontrunners ​advance to a runoff on ⁠October 25.

• AtlasIntel surveyed 5,000 people between ​September 4 and 9. The ‌poll has a margin ​of error of 1 percentage point.

(Reporting by Andre Romani; Editing by Gabriel Araujo)

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