Quebec to hold Oct 5 election, separatists favored to win


FILE PHOTO: Quebec Premier Christine Frechette attends the announcement of a Quebec-Newfoundland hydro agreement in St. John’s, Canada, August 17, 2026. REUTERS/Greg Locke/File Photo

Aug 27 (Reuters) - Quebec will ⁠hold an election on October 5, with polls showing ⁠that the next government is likely to be formed ‌by separatists who want independence for the predominantly French-speaking Canadian province — but not while U.S. President Donald Trump is in office.

Premier Christine Frechette, who leads ​the right-of-center Coalition Avenir Quebec government, ⁠made the announcement on Thursday ⁠at a press conference to begin her campaign for re-election. ⁠Under ‌Quebec's fixed-date election law, October 5 is the latest day a province-wide vote can be held.

The CAQ first ⁠came to power in 2018 and won reelection ​in 2022 ‌but is trailing the separatist Parti Quebecois amid voter fatigue ⁠and anger ​over high living costs and a struggling medical system.

The PQ, set to take power for the first time in more than a ⁠decade, have long promised to hold ​another referendum on splitting from Canada.

But last week, PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon said that if he won power, the party would ⁠not call a referendum until Trump leaves office, in 2029. Quebec has been one of the hardest-hit provinces amid the deepening trade war with the U.S. and Trump is more disliked ​there than elsewhere in Canada.

Two previous ⁠independence votes, in 1980 and 1995, both failed and a series ​of polls over the last two ‌years show a solid majority are ​against the idea of breaking away from Canada.

(Reporting by David Ljunggren and Maria Cheng; Editing by Mark Porter)

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