Narrow majority of Icelanders back EU membership talks, poll shows ahead of referendum


FILE PHOTO: Overview of the town form Hallgrimskirkja church ahead of a referendum on whether Iceland should resume accession negotiations with the European Union, in Reykjavik, Iceland, August 12, 2026. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse/File Photo

COPENHAGEN, Aug 26 (Reuters) - A narrow ⁠majority of Icelanders support restarting negotiations on joining the European Union in ⁠a nationwide referendum set for Saturday, according to a new opinion ‌poll, down slightly from the previous survey.

The August 29 ballot is not a vote on membership itself and any deal with the EU would require Iceland to hold a second referendum on whether ​to join the bloc based on the terms agreed ⁠in the negotiations.

The August 21-25 ⁠survey of 1,019 people by polling agency Maskina showed 51.3% of respondents support holding ⁠negotiations ‌with Brussels on joining the bloc, while 48.7% are opposed, Icelandic daily Visir reported.

The gap between the two sides has narrowed further since an ⁠August 13 poll, when 52.2% said they backed restarting ​the talks while 47.8% ‌said they opposed them.

Reykjavik abandoned EU membership talks in 2013 after four ⁠years of negotiations, ​but a rise in the cost of living and the war in Ukraine are among the factors in recent years that have rekindled Iceland's interest in joining the 27-nation bloc.

Repeated ⁠threats by U.S. President Donald Trump to annex ​Greenland, located between Iceland and the United States, have also revived interest in joining the EU.

Iceland is already part of the European single market, the Schengen open-border travel zone, ⁠and the European Free Trade Association (EFTA) alongside Norway and Liechtenstein, but has no formal influence on how the EU evolves.

EU membership would give Iceland a direct say in decision-making via institutions such as the European Commission, the Council of Ministers ​and the European Parliament. It would also involve Iceland ⁠joining the EU's customs union and offer the option of adopting the euro.

In the event ​of a 'yes' vote in Saturday's referendum, a foreign ‌ministry memo estimates that accession talks could ​start by the end of 2026 and be concluded within 18 to 24 months.

(Reporting by Louise Rasmussen, editing by Terje Solsvik and Gareth Jones)

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