Lula's lead over Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil election, poll shows


Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva attends a meeting at the Planalto Palace in Brasilia, Brazil, August 11, 2026. REUTERS/Adriano Machado

SAO PAULO, Aug ⁠14 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula ⁠da Silva continues to lead Senator Flavio ‌Bolsonaro, although the right-wing challenger has narrowed the gap with the leftist incumbent ahead of October's election, ​a Quaest poll showed on ⁠Friday.

• In a ⁠simulated second-round runoff, Lula would receive 43% support ⁠compared with ‌40% for Bolsonaro.

• An August 5 Quaest poll had Lula leading ⁠Bolsonaro by 44% to 39%.

• The ​most recent ‌runoff figures also represent a virtual tie, ⁠as the ​poll has a margin of error of two percentage points.

• In a first-round scenario, Lula ⁠would lead with 38% of ​the votes, followed by Bolsonaro (31%), Renan Santos (4%), Ronaldo Caiado (4%) and Romeu Zema (2%).

• Senator Bolsonaro is ⁠the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro.

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first round, ​the two frontrunners advance ⁠to a runoff.

• Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between ​August 10-13. The poll ‌was commissioned by local media ​outlet Globo.

(Reporting by Fernando Cardoso; Editing by Mark Porter and Brendan O'Boyle)

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