Lula leads Bolsonaro but gap narrows ahead of Brazil election, poll shows


Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva speaks during his nomination as a candidate to run for his fourth term in October's presidential election at a convention held by the Workers' Party (PT), in Sao Paulo, Brazil, August 2, 2026. REUTERS/Alexandre Meneghini

SAO PAULO, Aug ⁠5 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da ⁠Silva continues to lead Senator Flavio ‌Bolsonaro, although the right-wing challenger has narrowed the gap with the leftist incumbent ahead of October's election, a Quaest ​poll commissioned by brokerage Genial ⁠showed on Wednesday.

• ⁠In a simulated second-round runoff, Lula would receive ⁠44%support ‌compared with 39% for Bolsonaro.

• A July 15 Quaest poll had Lula ⁠leading Bolsonaro by 45% to 37%.

• In ​a first-round ‌scenario, Lula would lead with 39% of ⁠the votes, ​followed by Bolsonaro (30%), Renan Santos (4%), Ronaldo Caiado (4%), and Romeu Zema (2%).

• Senator Bolsonaro is the eldest son ⁠of former President Jair Bolsonaro.

• ​The previous poll showed Lula at 40% and Bolsonaro at 28% in the first round.

• If ⁠no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first round, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff.

• Quaest surveyed ​2,004 people between July 31 ⁠and August 3, with a margin of error ​of 2 percentage points.

(Reporting ‌by Gabriel Araujo in Sao ​Paulo and Michael Susin in Barcelona, Editing by Louise Heavens and Sharon Singleton)

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