Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro even in Brazil election second-round, Datafolha poll shows


FILE PHOTO: Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva stands during a ministerial meeting at the Planalto Palace in Brasilia, Brazil, March 31, 2026. REUTERS/Adriano Machado/File Photo

SAO PAULO, April 11 (Reuters) - ⁠Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and ⁠Senator Flavio Bolsonaro have remained statistically tied in a ‌potential runoff in the October general elections, a Datafolha poll showed on Saturday, with the lawmaker rising within the survey's error margin.

Flavio Bolsonaro, ​son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, ⁠would receive 46% of the ⁠votes in a runoff, compared with 45% for Lula, according ⁠to ‌Datafolha. Lula had 46% compared to 43% for Flavio Bolsonaro in early March nL6N3ZV05B.

It was the ⁠first time the younger Bolsonaro surpassed Lula numerically ​in a ‌Datafolha poll, but the changes remained within the survey's ⁠margin of ​error of two percentage points in either direction, meaning both were still statistically tied.

Lula, who will seek a fourth non-consecutive term, ⁠has seen his advantage evaporate this ​year, with Flavio Bolsonaro rising in polls nL1N40J0Y0 after gaining the public support nL1N3XB0QD in December from his father, who ⁠is under house arrest for plotting a coup.

In the first round, Lula, 80, maintains the lead in the scenario polled through spontaneous mentions. But he has lost the lead ​when the respondents are shown the candidates, ⁠with the president now statistically tied with Bolsonaro, according to ​the survey.

Datafolha interviewed 2,004 voters from ‌Tuesday to Thursday in 137 ​municipalities.

(Reporting by Andre Romani in Sao Paulo and Maria Carolina Marcello in Brasilia; Editing by Alistair Bell)

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