PETALING JAYA: The number of daily Covid-19 cases could reach 13,000 infections a day by mid-June if the infectivity rate – known as the R-naught (R0) – remains above 1.2 due to non-compliance of standard operating procedures (SOP).
Health director-general Tan Sri Dr Noor Hisham Abdullah had shared the Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed (SEIR) model on the forecasts of daily cases from January to June on his social media accounts.
The nationwide R0 on Friday (May 28) was 1.15, although this differed from state to state.
Melaka had the highest R0 at 1.32, followed by Sabah (1.31), Negri Sembilan (1.30), Putrajaya (1.24), Kedah and Pahang (1.21), and Kelantan (1.18).
Malaysia on Saturday (May 29) breached 9,000 cases for the first time since the beginning of the pandemic as the daily record of new cases was broken for the fifth consecutive day.
As a result of the spiralling number of cases, the country will be under a total lockdown from June 1-14.
Dr Noor Hisham had previously said that the R0 had to drop to 0.5 for the chain of infection to be broken.
The country's total number of confirmed cases as of Saturday (May 29) is 558,534, while the death toll from the disease as of Friday (May 28) stands at 2,552.
Kadar kebolehjangkitan Covid-19 atau Ro/Rt pada jangkaan mengikut kes seharian pada 28 hb Mei 2021 untuk seluruh negara adalah 1.15.. Manakala pecahan mengikut negeri adalah seperti di lampiran. pic.twitter.com/BFctXZ2hnY — Noor Hisham Abdullah (@DGHisham) May 28, 2021
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