Asia doesn’t need an October Surprise

Election ploy: Early speculation was on Trump seeking a popularity bump with another summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un. — AFP

RECENTLY, as the United States aircraft carriers Nimitz and Ronald Reagan conducted war games in the South China Sea to strong protests from Beijing, Indian newspapers were reporting what appears to be a limited pullback by Chinese troops who had entered the disputed Galwan Valley in the Ladakh Himalayas in June, causing a fierce clash that saw the first loss of lives on the Sino-Indian border in more than three decades.

The relief that Asia’s two most powerful militaries seem to be de-escalating was mixed with an uneasy sense of deja vu: On July 15,1962, headlines in the Indian media had similarly proclaimed a Chinese withdrawal from Galwan Valley. Reams of newsprint were exhausted on praising the valour of Indian soldiers and some thought that then Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru’s “forward policy” of moving up Indian border posts had paid dividends.