Peak coronavirus? Epidemic forecasts are often wrong but can be useful

LONDON/CHICAGO (Reuters) - Predicting "peak virus" is often destined to fail. But that's not to say it is pointless.

Many health, policy and economic experts worldwide are now trying to do just this with the epidemic of coronavirus disease spreading from China. They are working together to map the curve of the outbreak, but warn there are too many holes in the data to reliably predict when it will reach its peak - when the number of new daily cases starts to decline consistently.