Emerging Markets - Asian FX subdued with focus on Indonesia polls and Philippine policy


SINGAPORE (Reuters): Emerging Asian currencies and equities were muted on Monday, with the Lunar New Year holiday keeping volumes light while investor focus was on elections in Indonesia and the Philippines central bank's policy decision due this week.

The Philippine peso was down 0.2% and stocks retreated 0.6%.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is set to meet on Thursday to review interest rates. Regional central banks have so far remained in a holding pattern with the Bank of Thailand and the Reserve Bank of India keeping key rates unchanged last week.

The BSP said last week that it deems it necessary to keep monetary policy settings "sufficiently tight" until a sustained downtrend in inflation becomes evident, even as data showed that annual inflation accelerated at its slowest pace in over three years in January.

The Philippine central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate by 450 basis points since May 2022, including an off-cycle hike last October.

The central bank, however, kept the rate steady at 6.5% in its final two policy meetings of 2023. "BSP will probably wait for the Fed to cut first before considering an adjustment," said Nicholas Mapa, a senior economist, ING.

"Given, however, that inflation has fallen sharply due to favorable base effects and supply side remedies, we do see the BSP cutting rates shortly after the Fed does."

He expects the Philippine markets to take their cue from the region in the near term, with the peso's upside likely to be constrained by the current account dynamics.

The Indonesian rupiah inched 0.1% higher and stocks in Jakarta rose as much as 0.8% to a one-month high.

Indonesia is set to hold simultaneous presidential and legislative elections on Wednesday, where citizens will choose a new president and vice president, a parliament, and lawmakers among 20,000 administrative posts across the country.

The Thai baht and the Indian rupee were flat, while stocks in India declined 0.6%. Most Asian markets were closed for Lunar New Year celebrations, including mainland China, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Malaysia.

Investors are waiting to see what Chinese authorities would do next to shore up the country's battered stock market after appointing a new markets regulator just before the break.

A raft of regulatory measures to defend the stock market this year, including suspending brokerages from borrowing shares for lending, curbing margin-lending and other derivatives, and even getting exchanges to halt selling by hedge funds, have barely helped.

Stocks in Shanghai are down 3.7% so far this year, the worst performer in Asia. Gross domestic product (GDP) data from Malaysia and Singapore are also in focus this week, along with January inflation data from the United States. - Reuters

Follow us on our official WhatsApp channel for breaking news alerts and key updates!
   

Next In Aseanplus News

Vigil held for victims of Sydney mall attack
Singapore condemns Iran’s attack on Israel, ‘deeply concerned’ about Middle East situation, says foreign ministry
Go back home safe; Indonesian holidaymakers told to return early to avoid congestion
It's splashing Songkran fun in Thailand even after country hits 40�C heat; PM Srettha joins in the fun in Hua Hin
Anwar to meet ministers to discuss Middle East crisis
Philippines says four Filipino sailors aboard ship seized by Iranian forces
Vietnam's Hanoi promotes experiential tourism linked to 1,000 over years of heritage and trade villages
Thai Foreign Minister says his country won't tolerate border violations after clashes in Myanmar
Landslides kill 14 on Indonesia's Sulawesi island
Sweet lessons: Taiwan urban beekeeping gets positive buzz

Others Also Read