Further conflict, debt dispute pose high risk to Ukraine recovery - IMF


KIEV(Reuters) - Further separatist conflict and the possibility of protracted debt restructuring talks still pose "exceptionally high" risks to Ukraine's efforts to restore its financial stability, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday.

In a report by IMF staff released after the fund's first review of a $17.5 billion (11.23 billion pounds) loan programme, the IMF said the violent pro-Russian uprising in Ukraine's eastern territories was one of the greatest threats to the country's economy.

"Risks to the outlook remain exceptionally high," it said, listing the main risks as "uncertainty about the duration and depth of the conflict ... prolongation of the discussions on the debt operation ... and slippages in policy implementation."

Violence has continued despite a ceasefire agreement in February and casualties are reported almost daily.

Meanwhile, the IMF's broader bailout plan for Ukraine depends on Kiev making $15 billion in savings by restructuring its debt, but talks with creditors have dragged on for over four months.

In a memorandum released by the IMF, Kiev said it was "advancing discussions with creditors on a debt operation, which we aim to complete by late September 2015." This suggests Ukraine does not intend to make a $500 million debt payment due in September.

Ukraine's overall bailout package amounts to more than $40 billion. That includes the $17.5 billion of IMF loans, a further $7.5 billion in lending from other international organisations and the $15.3 billion that Ukrainian officials hope to gain from bondholders.

The IMF kept its forecasts for Ukraine's gross domestic product unchanged, seeing a 9 percent contraction in 2015 with inflation at 46 percent. In June, it downgraded its forecast from an expectation the economy would shrink 5.5 percent.

(Reporting by Alessandra Prentice and Natalia Zinets, editing by Larry King)

Get 20% OFF The Star Digital Access

Monthly Plan

RM 13.90/month

RM 11.12/month

Billed as RM 11.12 for the 1st month, RM 13.90 thereafter.

Best Value

Annual Plan

RM 12.33/month

RM 9.87/month

Billed as RM 118.40 for the 1st year, RM 148 thereafter.

Follow us on our official WhatsApp channel for breaking news alerts and key updates!

Next In World

Wildfires rage in Greece as firefighters continue battle in France and Spain
Spain installs floating barrier in Ceuta after calm night following border rush
'Le camping', an egalitarian symbol of French summers, faces a fiery future
Thousands expected in Amsterdam for boisterous WorldPride in shadow of Berlin attack
India's Modi says punishing student protesters will not resolve situation
US to make visa bond program permanent for people from dozens of countries
Yemen's Houthis deny plans to impose fees on ships sailing through Red Sea
Russia pounds Kyiv, kills 9 as Ukraine appeals for Patriot interceptors
Police exchange fire with suspected drug traffickers at Brazil's Sao Paulo airport
U.S. stocks end higher

Others Also Read