Fed must dig deep on AI impact to make right rate calls ahead, Daly says


Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly poses for a photograph at the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank's annual Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, U.S. August 25, 2023. REUTERS/Ann Saphir

Feb 17 (Reuters) - The ⁠Federal Reserve must dig deep on the ⁠data to assess whether artificial intelligence is ‌boosting productivity growth and enabling faster economic growth without igniting inflation or requiring the Fed to tap the brakes ​with tighter policy, San Francisco Fed ⁠President Mary Daly ⁠said on Tuesday.

The Trump administration says that's already happening, ⁠and ‌some economists say that rising investment into AI will boost productivity growth further, ⁠creating an economy that, as in the ​1990s with ‌the adoption of computers and software, could ⁠grow faster ​than before even as inflation remained tame.

So far, Daly said in remarks prepared for delivery to ⁠an event at San Jose State ​University hosted by the Silicon Valley Leadership Group, "most macro-studies of productivity growth find limited evidence of a ⁠significant AI effect." That could be because it is still too soon to see the results of the improvements from investments by individual ​companies in some corners of ⁠industry.

Or, she said, "it could also be that we are ​simply not there yet," ‌and it takes a lot ​more time for economy-wide transformations to occur.

(Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama )

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