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WITH the economic fallout mounting from the daily surge in coronavirus (Covid-19) cases, the probability of recession that had been pushed back, has picked up.
Following the last inversion of the US Treasury yield curve, long term Treasury yields have again dipped below those of a shorter duration, triggering alarm bells.
WILL the green shoots of stabilisation wilt in the wake of growing concerns over the spread of the China coronavirus?
WITH stocks on Wall Street at the extremes of 2000, the start of the dotcom crash, will improved prospects for the global economy give the extra spur to markets?
AMIDST an uneasy calm in the Middle East, currently the scene of unpredictable events, oil price is likely to remain volatile.
With world markets rallying to record highs, what is it that will stop this momentum forward? Geopolitics has surfaced in a big way, right at the beginning of the year, with the US killing of top Iranian military commander Qassem Soleimani in a drone attack.
Much hope is pinned on some emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) to provide the boost to world growth but can they deliver on this?
THE outlook for the global economy may be improving slightly, at least in the first half of 2020, but storm clouds remain.
THE risk of recession may be receding but business confidence is not yet fully-restored as US-China political and trade undercurrents remain.