Explainer: Red mirage, blue mirage: Beware of early U.S. election wins


  • World
  • Thursday, 22 Oct 2020

FILE PHOTO: An official mail-in ballot from the state of Maryland for the November 3, 2020 U.S. presidential election between Republican presidential nominee and current U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee and former Vice President Joe Biden is seen in Hyattsville, Maryland, U.S., October 1, 2020. REUTERS/Jim Bourg/File Photo

(Reuters) - Imagine that the polls have closed in Florida, counties are beginning to report early vote counts, and it looks like former Vice President Joe Biden is way ahead. An hour later, Pennsylvania counties begin to report and it seems to be a slam dunk for U.S. President Donald Trump.

Don't be fooled, voting experts and academics say. Early vote counts in the most competitive, battleground states can be particularly misleading this election because of the surge in mail-in or absentee ballots, and the different ways that they are processed.

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