Influential COVID-19 model projects almost 400,000 deaths in U.S. by Feb. 1


  • World
  • Tuesday, 13 Oct 2020

WASHINGTON, Oct. 12 (Xinhua) -- The COVID-19 death toll in the United States is expected to reach almost 400,000 by Feb. 1, according to an updated key COVID-19 model.

According to the new forecast from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington, peak daily deaths in the country in mid-January will be over 2,200, and the total would reach 394,693 by Feb. 1.

If mandates ease, the death toll would increase to over 502,000 by Feb. 1. If masks are universally adopted, which would mean about 95 percent of people consistently wearing masks, the IHME predicts about 315,800 deaths.

The IHME model also projects over 113,199 hospital beds are needed by Feb. 1 to take care of the infected.

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