Why New Zealand's volcano alerts aren't forecasts


  • World
  • Friday, 13 Dec 2019

Members of a rescue crew are seen at the White Island volcano, also known by its Maori name Whakaari, in New Zealand, December 13, 2019, in this image obtained via social media. New Zealand Defence Force/Handout via REUTERS

WELLINGTON (Reuters) - New Zealand's geological agency downgraded its "alert level" for the White Island volcano this week - at the same time its own scientists said another eruption similar to Monday's deadly blast was increasingly likely.

The apparent juxtaposition, which has confused many observers, arises because GeoNet's Volcanic Alert Level System is not a forecast, although people might assume it is.

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