SHANGHAI (Bloomberg): Even China can't fix its affordable housing crisis.
When Beijing introduced price caps for almost two-thirds of apartments in late 2016 as part of a programme to provide homes for millions of middle-class citizens to buy, an array of cheap condominiums began springing up on the city's outskirts.
Three years on, the cramped, poor-quality units that are far from anywhere lie mostly empty.
It's an awkward reality confronting authorities in the nation's sprawling capital, which introduced the stringent housing curbs to quash prices that had shot up almost 30% in the 12 months through September 2016.
Since then, around 60% of land plots sold to developers in Beijing have come with strings attached.
The apartments, once completed, mustn't be sold above a certain price and 70% of units have to be smaller than 90sq m (about one-third the size of a tennis court). Buyers are also banned from flipping properties within eight years.
Few policymakers globally are armed with the tools to make such granular decisions.
As cities around the world - from Sydney to Singapore, Berlin to New York - struggle to make housing affordable, especially for lower- and middle-income buyers, a range of remedies is being tried.
Governments have imposed additional taxes on overseas buyers, adopted rent controls or long-term rent freezes to protect tenants and stem spiralling prices.
China's government, by contrast, has a vast array of levers to pull, making its miscalculation in Beijing all the more uncomfortable.
The limited-price policy was also the first time in the nation's 30-year housing market history (property ownership was legalised only in 1998) that the authorities sought to control the cost of apartments before they had even been built.
"How slow these projects have been selling has come as a shock to everyone," said Zhang Dawei, a Beijing-based research director at property consultancy firm Centaline Group.
In late 2016, the average home in Mentougou in western Beijing, a two-hour drive from The Forbidden City at the city's heart, cost almost twice that of a home in New Jersey's Jersey City on a per square foot basis.
Beijing was ranked the world's third-most expensive metropolis by Oxford Economics.
More affordable apartments - about 20% cheaper - should sell like hotcakes, developers and officials thought.
When the first condominiums under the programme started to come to market in mid-2018, some project owners didn't even bother with showrooms, believing demand would be so strong, the apartments would sell themselves.
There was an initial rush but before long, interest tapered off. Buyers baulked at the quality - some units were delivered with cement-clad walls, leaving purchasers to do the tiling, and occasionally even the electrical wiring, themselves.
Many are also on the outskirts of Beijing, with the nearest metro line 3km away, a struggle for young families reliant on public transport.
In total, China Index Holdings estimates around 51,000 units have been released in Beijing under the programme; as of mid-December, 46% had been sold.
That has turned an undersupply in the capital's new-home market into an oversupply. While once there were at least two bidders for every apartment, now there are two apartments for every one buyer, Guo Yi, the head of research at Beijing-based property consulting firm, United Harvest, said. - Bloomberg