GDP numbers
KEY economic data due this week include Bank Negara Malaysia’s announcement of the third-quarter (3Q25) gross domestic product (GDP) figures on Friday.
Malaysia’s advanced 3Q25 GDP showed the economy expanded 5.2% year-on-year (y-o-y), compared to the 4.4% growth in 2Q25.
UOB Global Economics & Markets Research expects Malaysia’s 3Q25 GDP to expand 5.2% y-o-y, compared with a seasonally adjusted 2.1% growth quarter-on-quarter and 5.4% in the second quarter of 2024.
Meanwhile, according to Trading Economics’ global macro models and analysts’ expectations, the GDP annual growth rate is projected to be 4.5% by the end of this quarter.
The Statistics Department is also scheduled to release September 2025 retail sales data, along with the latest figures on the unemployment rate and construction output this week.
China data dump
A SLEW of key Chinese data, including industrial production, retail sales, the jobless rate, new yuan loans and M2 money supply for October, is scheduled for release this week.
Bloomberg estimates industrial production growth of 5.5% y-o-y, easing from 6.5% in September, while retail sales are expected to rise 2.8% y-o-y, compared with 3% in the previous month.
ING expects China’s retail sales growth to moderate to 2.6% y-o-y, as the impact of the trade-in policy fades.
Industrial production, meanwhile, is likely to remain resilient, though purchasing managers’ data suggest some moderation ahead. ING forecasts 5.7% y-o-y growth for October.
Additionally, Bloomberg estimates China’s October surveyed jobless rate at 5.2%, unchanged from September, while M2 money supply is projected to rise 8.1% y-o-y, easing from 8.4% in the previous month.
India’s inflation rate
INDIA is set to release its October inflation data this week.
Bloomberg estimates consumer price index or CPI growth of 0.4% y-o-y, easing from 1.54% in September.
Meanwhile, wholesale price index inflation is expected to range between minus 1.1% and minus 0.7% y-o-y, compared with 0.13% in the previous month.
